Biden Sanders

Biden or Sanders, Who is the Easiest for Trump to Beat in 2020?

President Donald Trump suggested to his supporters in South Carolina cast their primary ballots for Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders during his rally Friday, the second straight Democratic primary in which he’s suggested his supporters get involved. Trump suggested this with the following comments:

  • “By the way, the Republicans allowed to vote in the — are you ready?” 
  • “Are you ready? Let’s do it together,” Trump said, going on to say that he “this is OK from a campaign finance standpoint.”
  • “First we have to figure out who would be the ‘weakest candidate,‘ and then if it’s legal — if it’s permissible by law.”

The Palmetto State has been the focus of “Operation Chaos”: an attempt by some conservatives in the state to disrupt the Democratic primary by voting in the contest, with the goal of injecting uncertainty into the party’s presidential nominating process. Here is a video analysis of some Republicans said to be at work:

Is this a good idea and are we sure that this won’t backfire? It’s political chess. This begs the question:

Who is the Easiest to Beat for Trump in 2020?

Here is the current thinking from some media pundits on the Democratic presidential hopefuls:

Axios – If Biden wins South Carolina commandingly, he lives to fight on Super Tuesday. But if Sanders manages to even come close, it’ll fuel his juggernaut. Biden has bet it all on South Carolina to position himself as the best alternative to Sanders.

Real Clear Politics polling averages have Sanders in the lead in California, Virginia, Texas and North Carolina — all crucial Super Tuesday states.

Polls show Biden leading here by 20 points, but his supporters feel the weight of his national political survival on their shoulders — and Sanders is whittling away at Biden’s lead.

FiveThirtyEight estimates that if Sanders were to win in South Carolina, he could end up with a little more than half of all the pledged delegates after Super Tuesday — and be in strong shape to win the nomination.

If the goal is to steer the Democrats into a brokered convention, Bloomberg or some other dark-horse could appear from the smoke-filled back rooms at DNC headquarters. This is still in play and yet another political calculation, though right now there does not seem to be strong candidate waiting in the wings. Here are the latest odds from FiveThirtyEight:

The short answer to the question we posed is that Trump can and will beat either “weak” candidate in November of 2020. But the arguments will be different. Here is our break down of the main arguments posed against either candidate:

Arguments against Biden:

  • Biden is gaff prone and is just getting too old to maintain the pace of a presidential candidate – at least in his state of health. Here is just the latest example: Joe Biden Accidentally Creates a New State While on the Campaign Trail in South Carolina.
  • Biden would need to re-litigate the Trump Impeachment hearings and explain his and his son’s involvement in Ukraine and China.
  • Biden has said some fairly far left comments in order to capture the far left Progressives. He would need to flip flop back to his more traditional center-left positions of the past.
  • Biden simply can get anyone excited about his candidacy other than DNC insiders. Here is an example: Small Crowds for Biden and Buttigieg in Iowa.

Arguments against Sanders:

To be honest, I am not sure which is the “weakest candidate.” The thinking today is that it might be Biden. Let Biden win the Democratic South Carolina primary, and it might assure us a brokered convention in the summer, as Sanders is polling strong and generating buzz amongst his Progressive base. But politics is fickle and changes rapidly. What is your opinion? Make your comments below.

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Written by Tom Williams

Born down on the farm in America's Midwest, my early life was spent climbing the ladder via a long career in information technology. Starting as a technician, and after earning a degree going to night school, I eventually found a place working at ATT Bell Laboratories as a software engineer.

Later moving into management and then a long stint in a major management consulting firm working with major banking, telecommunications, and retail companies. Working in various states in America, I also spent considerable time living and working in several European countries - currently expat in France. As a side career, I was heavily involved in real estate development and an avid futures trader. This experience can give one a unique view of the world.

The storm clouds of dark change are near. Today America is at a crossroads. Will it maintain its prowess as a national leader in the free modern advancing world, or will it backtrack in the abyss of the envy identity politics of tyrannical socialism, and the loss of individual freedoms. The 2020 election may have decided this. Join the Right Wire Report team and make a stand.

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  1. Hey there, don’t get me wrong I’m sure Trump’s a glorified manbaby barely capable of fallating the ‘job makers’ into staying invested in the states instead of jumping ship for cheaper labor, but you put Biden down as “Gaff Prone” and that’s what the lowest ranked main stream media representative would give to him, they say not to psychoanalyze our president, but Biden? Man he’s a few years off being fully demented. “Gaffs” is what he’d want you to call it. “He’s got a stutter” I’ve also heard from the msm and it’s complete bullshit, I’ve experienced people with stutters and it’s not that. He’s had two aneurysms and the eye stroke at least, and best case scenario for him it’s just long term damage getting worse. Have you ever wanted to see Biden actually pressed tooth and nail in a debate for two hours with only a few minutes of moderators to help him out? He’d crumble, but it would be a sad time. If you want a weaker fight go for him; personally I’d rather see the duel with Sanders, and in some part because I don’t think he’s “Crazy” to demand more rooting out of corruption. I’ve heard Trump say he wanted a healthcare system like Australia’s before he got grifted up in some back room and Sanders might at least make him step up his game.

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