Back in the middle of the Coronavirus “pandemic,” we reported on the Gobbledygook Coronavirus Math we later updated this with a post entitled, Gobbledygook Coronavirus Math Updates. The Right Wire Report has been asked to update this article again with the final data for 2020 from the CDC for the U.S. and put the new data into a meaningful perspective to see if anything has changed.
First, let’s get the CDC data and understand it a little better. Click here for the CDC final counts of deaths by the week the deaths occurred, by the state of occurrence, and by select causes of death for 2014 to 2019. Click here for the CDC provisional counts of deaths by the week the deaths occurred, by the state of occurrence, and by select underlying causes of death for 2020.
The analysis is first to combine the data (click here for our CDC worksheet) of the recent CDC projected data and the CDC’s final data to see historical trends over the past 5 years. Note as well, we are comparing the previous 5-year average where there were no “pandemics” to a year with a “pandemic.” Here is a summary chart showing the past 5 years and the current 2020 year.
The key takeaways from this CDC data:
- In the U.S., there indeed may be near 500,000 deaths in 2020 when compared to the past 5 years average. But do note that this does not necessarily say that these additional deaths were only due to COVID, though most likely had an influence.
- Though 500,000 deaths in the U.S. for a single year are horrible, it does need to be put into perspective – it is only about 0.15% of the U.S. population. Knowing this, would one lockdown the entire population for months sending the global economies into a depression? And what of the potential unintended consequences of potential “other” harms this policy would inflict on the same population. An opinion for sure, but the Right Wire Report would say a resounding NO!
- This report assumes the accuracy of the CDC, though we have no evidence to doubt their reported data.
In a miraculous finding, Influenza has practically disappeared. The Right Wire Report is suspect of this miracle and finds it and the dramatic drops in Cancer, Stroke, and Cardiac Arrest cases odd as well. It is almost as if all major drivers of fatality rates went on hiatus during the “Great Pandemic.” We also note that we are told that this drop is related to sanitary protocols and mask-wearing. However, Flu is transmitted as a respiratory illness just like COVID 19, and case numbers and hospitalizations skyrocketed over the most active months of flu season. So masks reduced influenza transmission while not decreasing COVID?
The related issues to how a COVID death is determined, and if there are any inflated numbers in the counts, continue to arise, read here. There are also reports from healthcare workers who must test often that their results are counted as different positive cases instead of one person who has several tests.
Again, hindsight analysis is always easier, and no president or government agency will ever be perfect. The Right Wire Report hopes this removes some of the gobbledygook math concerning COVID19 and will do additional updates as warranted.