Coronavirus Math

Gobbledygook Coronavirus Math Updates 2020

Back in the middle of the Coronavirus “pandemic,” we reported on the Gobbledygook Coronavirus Math we later updated this with a post entitled, Gobbledygook Coronavirus Math Updates. The Right Wire Report has been asked to update this article again with the final data for 2020 from the CDC for the U.S. and put the new data into a meaningful perspective to see if anything has changed.

First, let’s get the CDC data and understand it a little better. Click here for the CDC final counts of deaths by the week the deaths occurred, by the state of occurrence, and by select causes of death for 2014 to 2019. Click here for the CDC provisional counts of deaths by the week the deaths occurred, by the state of occurrence, and by select underlying causes of death for 2020.

The analysis is first to combine the data (click here for our CDC worksheet) of the recent CDC projected data and the CDC’s final data to see historical trends over the past 5 years. Note as well, we are comparing the previous 5-year average where there were no “pandemics” to a year with a “pandemic.” Here is a summary chart showing the past 5 years and the current 2020 year.

CDC Death Counts 2020The key takeaways from this CDC data:

  • In the U.S., there indeed may be near 500,000 deaths in 2020 when compared to the past 5 years average. But do note that this does not necessarily say that these additional deaths were only due to COVID, though most likely had an influence.
  • Though 500,000 deaths in the U.S. for a single year are horrible, it does need to be put into perspective – it is only about 0.15% of the U.S. population. Knowing this, would one lockdown the entire population for months sending the global economies into a depression? And what of the potential unintended consequences of potential “other” harms this policy would inflict on the same population. An opinion for sure, but the Right Wire Report would say a resounding NO!
  • This report assumes the accuracy of the CDC, though we have no evidence to doubt their reported data.

In a miraculous finding, Influenza has practically disappeared. The Right Wire Report is suspect of this miracle and finds it and the dramatic drops in Cancer, Stroke, and Cardiac Arrest cases odd as well. It is almost as if all major drivers of fatality rates went on hiatus during the “Great Pandemic.” We also note that we are told that this drop is related to sanitary protocols and mask-wearing. However, Flu is transmitted as a respiratory illness just like COVID 19, and case numbers and hospitalizations skyrocketed over the most active months of flu season. So masks reduced influenza transmission while not decreasing COVID?

The related issues to how a COVID death is determined, and if there are any inflated numbers in the counts, continue to arise, read here. There are also reports from healthcare workers who must test often that their results are counted as different positive cases instead of one person who has several tests.

Again, hindsight analysis is always easier, and no president or government agency will ever be perfect. The Right Wire Report hopes this removes some of the gobbledygook math concerning COVID19 and will do additional updates as warranted.

 RWR original article syndication source.

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Written by Tom Williams

Born down on the farm in America's Midwest, my early life was spent climbing the ladder via a long career in information technology. Starting as a technician, and after earning a degree going to night school, I eventually found a place working at ATT Bell Laboratories as a software engineer.

Later moving into management and then a long stint in a major management consulting firm working with major banking, telecommunications, and retail companies. Working in various states in America, I also spent considerable time living and working in several European countries - currently expat in France. As a side career, I was heavily involved in real estate development and an avid futures trader. This experience can give one a unique view of the world.

The storm clouds of dark change are near. Today America is at a crossroads. Will it maintain its prowess as a national leader in the free modern advancing world, or will it backtrack in the abyss of the envy identity politics of tyrannical socialism, and the loss of individual freedoms. The 2020 election may have decided this. Join the Right Wire Report team and make a stand.

7 Comments

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  1. Misplaced question marks. Incoherent sentences with poor punctuation.

    Please, a proof-reader can at least mark the sentences which make absolutely no sense.

  2. Good to see someone tackling the tough questions and especially the complexities of the medical statistics and comparisons.
    And yes we can only assume the CDC statistics are accurate.
    I still feel someone is cooking the books.

  3. Wonderful investigating and analysis. Thank You for taking the time to explain the mysteriousness of the “pandemic” and expose how easily data can be manipulated to strike the fear of God into people in order to control them. I’m just waiting for them to tell us that the ocean has started to boil after it rose %0.015 in temperature.

    • The numbers are definitely cooked. Hard to say how much, but at least we’re finally getting SOME idea how many died of COVID in 2020.

  4. I’ve been quite skeptical of things as well, and it’s hard to even know if the numbers as presented are accurate. The ONLY thing they can’t fake very easily is the total number of deaths (from all causes) for the entire year. You can’t manufacture fake people unless it’s a US Presidential election. If you can'[t manufacture fake people in the death numbers, the total dead is typically fairly accurate.

    Total dead from all causes in 2020, compared to total dead from the 5 prior years. Look at difference. That is the number of people that very likely died from COVID-19. It should be pretty close to that number, anyway. I’d say, within roughly 10,000, or so.

    The next issue will be how the Harris/Biden administration literally changed the rules on what was considered a “positive” test the very week that Trump stepped down from office in late January. They IMMEDIATELY made it such that they would scrutinize the “positive” result a lot more, meaning that the number of infected would plummet the moment Harris took office. These are criminals, changing the rules for elections, and even for what means a person is positive for COVID. Just for political gain.

    • Wow, they manipulated the test criteria to deflate cases after Trump left the White House?
      Im not surprised at all.
      I wish there was a source for this.

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