A few days ago Right Wire Report wrote a report on trying to understand Covid data concerning vaccinated and unvaccinated people, as many may be facing a decision to take the jab or not – see here. In this article, we were asking for more detailed data concerning:
- A data set to compare vaccinated vs unvaccinated deaths.
- Weekly statistics once the vaccination rates were sufficient – starting about May 1st, 2021.
On queue and after the FDA has now approved one of the vaccines for Covid, the CDC has recently published a report trying to address the very issues we asked – see (SARS-CoV-2 Infections and Hospitalizations Among Persons Aged ≥16 Years, by Vaccination Status — Los Angeles County, California, May 1–July 25, 2021). It is a study done in Los Angeles County, California, from May 1 to July 25, 2021. One can see a better table view in the report link above, but the following table is a brief table excerpt on data points we want to focus on.
|Characteristic||Total||Fully vaccinated||Partially vaccinated||Unvaccinated|
|Total no. of cases||43,127||10,895||1,431||30,801|
|Hospitalized||2,794 (6.5)||350 (3.2)||89 (6.2)||2,355 (7.6)|
|Admitted to ICU||536 (1.2)||55 (0.5)||15 (1.0)||466 (1.5)|
|Required mechanical ventilation||189 (0.4)||19 (0.2)||5 (0.3)||165 (0.5)|
|Admitted to hospital after positive SARS-CoV-2 test date||1,454 (3.4)||136 (1.2)||29 (2.0)||1,289 (4.2)|
|Died||207 (0.5)||24 (0.2)||7 (0.5)||176 (0.6)|
There are a few observations that need to be said concerning this report.
- There seems to be little difference between vaccinated vs. unvaccinated in terms of catching Covid. The vacation rates for California, during the times that this study was done, seem to be consistent with the reports vaccinated vs. unvaccinated ratios. However, this report is from the LA Country area which has a very unique demographic and culture which may have an effect on the report – e.g., 45% African American and Latino, which is not consistent with national averages. Here is another report that would suggest this as well.
- Source data seems to be vague. When one digs deeper into this CDC report it is vague or unavailable for users to download, to understand easily where the source data comes from and/or how it was collected. See below for caveats that the report itself states.
Source (click here) detailed caveats are as follows. The findings in this report are subject to at least six limitations.
First, vaccination data for persons who lived in Los Angeles County at the time of their laboratory-confirmed infection but who were vaccinated outside of California were unavailable, leading to misclassification of their vaccination status; if vaccinated persons without accessible records were considered to be unvaccinated, the incidence in unvaccinated persons could be underestimated.
Second, case ascertainment is based on passive surveillance, with known underreporting, that might differ by vaccination status. Similarly, screening and testing behaviors might differ among groups. Third, COVID-19–associated hospitalizations were determined based on hospital admission and SARS-CoV-2 test dates alone, leading to the inclusion of incidental hospitalizations that were not associated with COVID-19.
Third, Covid-19- associated hospitalizations were determined based on hospital admission and SARS-CoV-2 test dates alone, leading to the inclusion of incidental hospitalizations that were not associated with COVID-19.
Fourth, COVID-19–associated deaths included deaths occurring ≤60 days after a first SARS-CoV-2 positive test date; therefore, some COVID-19–associated deaths might have been from other causes (excluding trauma). In addition, certain COVID-19–associated deaths might have been a result of long-term sequelae after 60 days and were not included.
Fifth, lineage and Ct values were available only for a convenience
sample of SARS-CoV-2 cases.
Finally (sixth), all the assays used to generate Ct values for comparison were qualitative, and none is approved for use in quantitating the amount of viral nucleic acid present.
So, on pages four and five the report makes it clear that not all hospitalization and fatality numbers are exclusively from COVID -19 as “incidental inclusions” happened. Additionally, the breakdown of age, race, and gender provides a skew to the overall conclusion that is not addressed. And there is no comorbidity data in the stated unvaccinated numbers which are higher in the demographic who suffer from more comorbidities and more negative outcomes when exposed to the pathogen.
Then consider the following: According to the chart, “unvaccinated <14 days receipt of the first dose of a 2-dose series or 1 dose of the single-dose vaccine or if no vaccination registry data were available.” This means if someone was hospitalized, admitted to ICU, required mechanical ventilation or died within two weeks of getting the jab they are being counted as “unvaccinated.”
The most interesting takeaway from this report is the death rates between the vaccinated and unvaccinated. This is what most people understandably fear. Here is where math and how data is reported can be misleading, though maybe true.
It is true to say that the unvaccinated (0.6) has three times the rate vs. the vaccinated (0.2) to die. Without understanding the raw percentage this headline can be shocking. BUT, it is only a 0.4 difference between the two groups even if one accepts the vague caveats. Would improvements in Covid therapeutics have been a better investment to make up this small difference?
The bigger question one must ask is, even if you accept this CDC report “as-is,” why with vaccine mandates we are surrendering our civil liberties, destroying our society and economy over a 0.4 improvement rate? Really?
While the Right Wire Report likes that we are starting to get reports from the CDC that can answer some questions many are asking, it is woefully lacking in both relevancy and quality. This doesn’t even speak to the therapeutics vs. vaccine health strategy being implemented. The poor performance at the CDC has possibly made this “pandemic” far worse than it needed to be.